Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.201535 0.233567 0.269048 0.311267 0.360148 0.414979 0.481184
2025-07-20 0.154079 0.197712 0.251132 0.321374 0.411384 0.522978 0.672064
2025-07-27 0.128773 0.177304 0.240984 0.330720 0.454090 0.618039 0.853025
2025-08-03 0.109591 0.159810 0.229530 0.333485 0.484847 0.697719 1.020876
2025-08-10 0.093504 0.143290 0.215865 0.329498 0.503380 0.760223 1.170047
2025-08-17 0.079341 0.127095 0.199806 0.318734 0.508985 0.802604 1.292466
2025-08-24 0.072011 0.120126 0.196365 0.326152 0.542392 0.889803 1.493594
2025-08-31 0.064703 0.112055 0.189902 0.327419 0.565326 0.962024 1.678074
2025-09-07 0.059128 0.106052 0.185896 0.331908 0.593567 1.045317 1.890170
2025-09-14 0.052558 0.097422 0.176272 0.325236 0.601173 1.093424 2.045263
2025-09-21 0.047512 0.090863 0.169429 0.322516 0.615152 1.153676 2.228557
2025-09-28 0.043883 0.086464 0.165928 0.325404 0.639552 1.235094 2.460392
2025-10-05 0.042129 0.085531 0.168946 0.341389 0.691495 1.375314 2.825808
2025-10-12 0.039914 0.083427 0.169484 0.352599 0.735457 1.505293 3.187484
2025-10-19 0.037804 0.081259 0.169597 0.362856 0.778504 1.637959 3.570450
2025-10-26 0.035196 0.077716 0.166470 0.365891 0.806616 1.742766 3.906464
2025-11-02 0.032200 0.072969 0.160262 0.361515 0.818101 1.813423 4.175806
2025-11-09 0.028919 0.067194 0.151186 0.349700 0.811619 1.844099 4.358378
2025-11-16 0.027518 0.065522 0.150953 0.357842 0.851334 1.981783 4.804767
2025-11-23 0.025746 0.062776 0.147978 0.359233 0.875396 2.086228 5.184605
2025-11-30 0.024370 0.060808 0.146572 0.364160 0.908384 2.214953 5.638730
2025-12-07 0.022346 0.057018 0.140437 0.356837 0.910499 2.269894 5.915136
2025-12-14 0.020766 0.054157 0.136238 0.353852 0.923111 2.351835 6.270407